2009年3月11日

The standard bank said that the gold price will further possibly decline the memoir which the South

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The standard bank said that the gold price will further possibly decline the memoir which the South

Africa Standard Bank will announce on Tuesday to demonstrate, because the investment demand will be

weak, the gold (201,2.84,1.44%) price will further possibly decline. Surpasses 600 kilograms golds

to enter the market, in the investment demand in the murky situation, the gold price possibly

largely will decline day after day, will cause the market to be more balanced. this line of

estimates, if the gold breaks 900-904 US dollar/ounce key support level, possibly further under

will search to 870 US dollars/ounces. , the standard bank also believed that should get down the

regarding buyer demand murky phenomenon in the specific background. At present, the gold price was

still close the historical high spot, simultaneously the stock market unceasingly is also falling.

the report showed that is testing 26 year low point Japan economy (stock) the index, but since the

sign Pu index also already dropped to 1996 the new low, this will provide the support in future

several months to the gold, the reason will possibly be all macro economic indicators aims at the

stock market further downward. passes 30 trading days, between the gold and the sign Pu index has

the inverse correlation relation, this means the stock market to fall, the gold rises. But both

past 10 trading day's relations were actually are being related, moreover the correlation

coefficient reached as high as 0.75, indicates the stock market fell when the gold price also in

along with it to fall.since standard bank the above change explanation for last Monday market risk

loathing mood rise. This line pointed out that in the past 10 trading days, between fluctuation

index (VIX) and the gold price inverse correlation coefficient was 0.65, indicated that the market

undulatory property rise, the gold price will fall. What fluctuation index weight was the American

Stock market's undulatory property, the US stock market present undulatory property already

compared is higher than 10% at the beginning of the year.

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